Full-scale invasion of Ukraine still unlikely, yet local escalation probable: analysis of scenarios

Full scale invasion of Ukraine still unlikely, yet local escalation probable: analysis of scenariosOn 12 February, Ukrainska Pravda published an analysis prepared by the experts of the Center for Defense Strategies, Andriy Zagorodniuk, Alina Frolova, Oleksiy Pavliuchyk, and Viktor Kevliuk, titled “Is an invasion of Ukraine possible? What are the prospects for Russia’s offensive.” The original text of the study is available in Ukrainian, the full English translation …

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